USD/CAD Technical Analysis Today: Potential Bullish Continuation?

The USD/CAD currency pair shows an intriguing movement across several timeframes based on the latest chart data. This article will analyze USD/CAD price movements on the 1-hour (H1), 4-hour (H4), and daily timeframes, identifying potential trends, support and resistance areas, and providing clear trading recommendations for traders.

USD/CAD Analysis on H1 Timeframe

Trend

On the H1 timeframe, USD/CAD appears to be in a consolidation phase after a sharp rally. The current price hovers around 1.4070, with the SMA-9 slightly above the current price, indicating short-term bearish pressure. The Stochastic RSI shows an oversold signal at 12.74, suggesting a potential upward reversal.

Support and Resistance

  • Support: 1.4050 (recent local low area).
  • Resistance: 1.4100 (SMA-9 level and closest psychological level).

This indicates that a strong support level could trigger a rebound, while resistance at 1.4100 needs to be breached to confirm a bullish continuation.

USD/CAD Analysis on H4 Timeframe

Trend

On the H4 timeframe, USD/CAD remains bullish overall, with price staying above the SMA-9. The price has tested resistance at 1.4100 multiple times but has not closed above it. The Stochastic RSI is at 73.29, nearing the overbought zone, signaling a potential short-term correction before further upward movement.

Support and Resistance

  • Support: 1.4060 (SMA-9 level) and 1.3990 (strong underlying support).
  • Resistance: 1.4150 (recent high).

If the price successfully breaks the resistance at 1.4150, the potential for an upward move to the 1.4200 area becomes highly probable.

USD/CAD Analysis on Daily Timeframe

Trend

On the Daily timeframe, the bullish trend appears stronger, with the price successfully breaking above the SMA-9 at 1.4012. Price action remains in an uptrend since early November. The Stochastic RSI at 34.53, currently in a neutral zone, offers room for further upward movement before entering the overbought area.

Support and Resistance

  • Support: 1.4010 (SMA-9 level) and 1.3950 (major support area).
  • Resistance: 1.4170 (strong long-term resistance).

A breakout above the 1.4170 level would confirm bullish momentum for a move toward 1.4300 or higher.

Read: How to identify support and resistance

USD/CAD Price Prediction

Based on technical analysis across all timeframes:

  • In the short term (H1), the price may rebound from the 1.4050 support level toward the 1.4100 resistance.
  • In the medium term (H4), the bullish trend remains dominant, though a slight correction to 1.4060 could occur before further gains.
  • In the long term (Daily), a breakout above 1.4170 would act as a catalyst for a significant bullish move.

Trading Recommendations

Based on the analysis above, here are the trading recommendations for USD/CAD:

  • Buy Option:
    • Entry Point: 1.4060 (near the SMA-9 support area on H4).
    • Take Profit (TP): 1.4150 (nearest resistance on H4).
    • Stop Loss (SL): 1.4030 (below major support).
  • Alternative Sell Option (If Support Breaks):
    • Entry Point: 1.4040 (if 1.4050 support is broken).
    • Take Profit (TP): 1.3990 (strong support below).
    • Stop Loss (SL): 1.4070 (above the breakout level).

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